Get your tin foil hat out again. You'll need it with this. This is another crazy off the wall theory. It's much like the one I wrote about years ago. Remember when I argued back in the dark ages, that when the banks started loosing money on the housing boom and bust, that they'd get massive bailouts and still get to foreclose and keep the real estate? Here's another tin foil hat conspiracy on that level.
I have no information about where the bailout money is really going. Neither does our Congress. They don't even seem to know how much of the blank check has been spent. In fact, the bailout bill that they signed, denies them the right to know what has happened to the money. It seems that Paulson is likely spending way more money than they authorized, but they denied themselves the right to know if he did.
Further, the Fed has been engaging in private bailouts, without any oversight. Various news outlets, reporting agencies and blogs have noted that the Fed is operating deep in the red, and no one knows for sure where the money is going. Well, we know it's going to the banks...
Paulson says that to make this bailout work, the destination of the money must remain secret.
Then couple all of this, with that billion dollar pallet of money lost in Iraq and who knows what other shenanigans. We can make some educated guesses I think.
The biggest banks are owned in large part by the House of Saud and the Bin Ladens. It is reasonable then to think that since they own the folks that sit on the boards, they decide where the money will go. Where would they put the bailout money?
I have a strong suspicion, but no proof, that much of the bailout money is going straight into accounts in Kuwait and Dubai. It is my opinion that the USA is in fact subsidizing the building boom in Dubai, through this bailout program.
Remember, with oil prices way down, a substantial component of the revenue that was building this playground for the super-rich, has been cut off.
I don't think that it is an accident that the bailout was needed, right after oil prices went over a cliff. I believe that the bailout money is compensating for lost profits in the Middle East.
I keep reading on various blogs that the money is going to cover the giant gaping wounds of derivative losses. This seems like a reasonable explanation on the surface. But the same folks go on to argue, that the money is just a trickle compared to the flood of money needed to cover the debts.
Now we know that these losses are secret. We know that Paulson is winning the fight to keep them secret. So if they don't need to tell anyone, why not just lock the losses away, refuse to cover them, and use the money for something else?
And perhaps this is why Paulson is seizing profitable banks and giving them away to the internationals? Perhaps it's to prevent the loans from being called, so the bailout money doesn't have to be used to cover losses, so that these losses will never be disclosed?
So in the end analysis, we don't know where the money is going. We know that Dubai is still booming. We know that oil prices are way down, and oil revenue is way down. So how is the Dubai Construction Bubble being financed, if not by the bailouts?
Update:
Before I get in arguments about whether or not Dubai is booming..., We have conflicting information on Dubai and it's construction boom. Here's a report that sums it up fairly well '
Dubai Building Boom Cooling'.
What is notable about this situation is that while the rest of the world is reeling backwards, Dubai is still moving forward. In flat economic climate, I think Dubai would still be classified as having a booming economy. It's only from the perspective of the dramatic booms we've seen lately, that Dubai looks like it may be waning.
According to that blog, CitiGroup is still funding construction in Dubai. The same CitiGroup that is broke, receiving bailout funds, and has cut lending in most of the rest of the world.
I think that is one more suspicious data point in favor of my argument.